
This is Deb's first season as the chief women's volleyball blogger for the AVCA, and all season long she will do more than just give us the top matches to watch this week...she will predict the outcome. After playing at Iowa State University from 2008-2011, Stadick is now the Program Director for the Badger Region Volleyball Association.
Notable News: Cal State Northridge earned the program’s first top-25 ranking since the 1992 season after they toppled Big West powerhouse Hawai'i in five sets.
Not-So-Notable News: Missouri’s latest ranking matches the program’s best-ever at seventh in the AVCA Coaches’ Poll. I guess that’s pretty notable.
Top-Five Recap: I went three for five this week, improving my overall record to 25-15.
My Pick:San Diego def. Saint Mary’s in five.
Reality:San Diego def. Saint Mary’s in three.
Recap:Apparently San Diego’s players had vengeance on their minds.
My Pick:UCF def. Temple in five.
Reality:UCF def. Temple in three.
Recap: Temple lost their momentum and couldn’t regroup. First set was close (27-25), second set was close-ish (25-20) and the third set was not (25-16).
My Pick:USC def. Washington in five.
Reality: Washington def. USC in four.
Recap: Washington played with composure in front of a hostile USC home crowd.
IMD:Washington is my team this year. I should’ve had more faith. Stupid. Stupid. Stupid.
Reality: Washington def. USC in four.
Recap: Washington played with composure in front of a hostile USC home crowd.
IMD:Washington is my team this year. I should’ve had more faith. Stupid. Stupid. Stupid.
My Pick:Minnesota def. Wisconsin in four.
Reality:Wisconsin def. Minnesota in four.
Recap:Minnesota struggled to side out, which let the Badgers run off points and gather momentum.
IMD:Wisconsin is a roller-coaster team right now. Face them while they’re hot? Good luck.
My Pick:Missouri def. Texas A&M in four.
My Pick:Missouri def. Texas A&M in four.
Reality: Missouri def. Texas A&M in three.
Recap:Another 2-0 weekend earned the undefeated Tigers a #7 ranking. They just don’t lose.
Remember. Each Sunday, you will have the opportunity to submit a match for me to preview. Tweet your selection to @debstadick and @AVCAVolleyball using the hash tag #DebsPicks. One submission will be previewed in the next blog.
Arizona @ No. 23 Oregon
Saturday, November 2
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Oregon Athletics |
Last season, Oregon’s 5-1 offensive system (featuring the fast-tempo setting of AVCA First-Team All-American Lauren Plum (left)) carried them to the NCAA finals. It hasn’t worked quite so well this season, and the Ducks have struggled to find offensive consistency. Depending on the health/efficiency of Plum, setter Shellsy Ashensteps in to run a 5-1 offense or shares duties with Plum in a 6-2 offense.
Outside Liz Brenneralong with middle hitter Ariana William lead the team in kills, while outside Martenne Bettendorfis coming along nicely in her first year as a go-to player. Opposite Canace Finely adds another scoring option for the Ducks.
Arizona plays smart, low-error volleyball. They rely on standout outside Madison Kindgonto generate the majority of offense, but freshman setter Penina Snukaruns quick plays and combos to neutralize opposing blockers.
Middle hittersOlivia Magill and Halli Amaro are both dominant at the net (1.14 and 1.09 blocks per set, respectively).
Arizona may be an up-and-down team, but Oregon is consistently shaky. Especially given the Ducks’ woes at the setter position of late, I like Arizona’s chances in this contest if they are aggressive from the service line and maintain their low-error offense.
No. 2 Penn State @ No. 14 Michigan State
Saturday, November 2
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Volleyball Magazine |
Penn State runs a 5-1 offensive system with senior setter Micha Hancock (left), who has led her team to a .319 hitting efficiency this season. Keeping Hancock in-system is libero Dominique Gonzalez.
Hancock has a slew of offensive options at her disposal. Outsides Deja McClendon, Nia Grant and Megan Courtney along with opposite Ariel Scott and middle hitter Katie Slay are all-everything hitters capable of taking over matches. Must be nice.
Michigan State has been running a 6-2 offensive system with setters Kristen Kelsay and Halle Peterson. Outside Lauren Wicinski along with middle hitter Alexis Matthews continue to be go-to hitters for the Spartans. Matthews is also a dominant force at the net and has tabbed 1.53 blocks per set this season.
Penn State wins a lot of matches, but they aren’t invincible. That being said, it’s hard to beat a team twice in a season, especially in the midst of a slump. I just don’t think this is the match where Michigan State snaps out of their funk.
My Pick: Penn State in four.
No. 19 Kentucky @ No. 7 Missouri
Sunday, November 3
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UK Athletics |
Yes, we’re still talking about Missouri (we’d be talking about Colorado State, too, but they don’t have any standout opponents this weekend). The Tigers are still undefeated (25-0) and on-fire, but I think this Kentucky squad will give them a run for their money. Kentucky is having a nice season of their own with a 15-5 overall, 7-2 conference record.
Molly Kreklow sets the Tigers’ 5-1 offensive system, and her team is clipping an impressive .363 hitting efficiency on the season. Standout pin hitters Lisa Henning and Carly Kan pace the Missouri’s offense, but middle hitters Emily Thater and Whitney Little along with pin hitter Emily Wilson are all viable scoring options as well.
A strong defensive team, libero Sarah Meisterkeeps the Tigers in-system and able to set their middle hitters.
Kentucky is also strong in the backcourt, relying on the six-rotation outsides Whitney Billings (above) andAnni Thomasson along with liberoJackie Napper for consistent defense.
Setter Morgan Bergren runs the Wildcats’ 5-1 offense. Bergren loves to set outside to Billings, but her other hitters (pin hitters Thomasson andLauren O’Conneralong with middleAlexandra Morgan) are effective offensive options as well.
Both sides have the ability to blast beautiful, hard hits. Controlling other factors of the match will be essential to success. Whichever team can excel managing the tips, rolls, free balls and sideouts efficiently will be in good shape to win. Missouri has to lose sometime, and Kentucky might just have the firepower and defensive prowess to take them down.
My Pick: Kentucky in five.
No. 12 North Carolina @ No. 20 Florida State
Friday, November 1
This ACC showdown features the 20-1 overall, 9-1 in conference North Carolina Tar Heels and the 15-6, 8-2 in conference Florida State Seminoles.
North Carolina runs a 6-2 offensive system. Jordyn Schnabl andAbigail Curry have led the team to a .261 hitting efficiency. Go-to outside Jovana Bjelica continues to pace North Carolina’s offense, but lately middle hitter Victoria McPherson has posted big offensive numbers to go along with her 1.18 blocks per set. Fellow middle hitter Paige Neuenfeldt has also been playing well lately, tabbing 1.10 blocks per set and giving North Carolina another viable offensive option.
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UNC Athletics |
Florida State runs a 6-2 offensive system with setters Hailey Luke and Sarah Wickstrom. Florida State loves to set the pins. In addition to the consistent offensive production of outside Elise Walchand opposite Nicole Walch, oppositeIzzy Carmona has emerged as another offensive weapon in recent matches.
Middle hitter Ashley Neff takes a lot of swings as well, which keeps opposing blockers from committing to the pins and freeing up space for the Walch sisters and Carmona to swing away and score.
Both teams use a 6-2 offensive system, so we will see a lot of hitters taking swings in this contest. One downside of the 6-2 system is that setters and hitters sometimes struggle getting in sync with one another and find that perfect offensive rhythm. I think this match will come down to aggressive serving and net presence. The team that keeps the other from finding their rhythm will have the upper hand. North Carolina is a slightly more aggressive serving team, and I like the way they attack the net with their block.
My Pick: North Carolina in four.
No. 1 Texas @ No. 25 Oklahoma
Saturday, November 2
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ESPN.com |
Oklahoma was expected to tab a fifth-place finish in the Big 12 (according to the preseason poll). The Sooners’ 18-4 overall, 6-2 conference record has earned them a three-way tie for second place in the Big 12, along with a No. 25 ranking.
Texas is big at the net, scrappy in the backcourt and experienced. That’s a pretty lethal combination. After experimenting with both 5-1 and 6-2 offensive systems early in the season, the Longhorns seems to have settled on a 5-1 offense using setter Chloe Collins.
Pin hitters Haley Eckerman (left) and Bailey Webster continue to lead Texas offensively (216 and 222 kills respectively). Pin hitter Khat Bell along with middle hitters Molly McCage and Chiaka Ogbogu round out the Longhorns’ offensive contributors, but also add big blocking numbers. Each of the three has tallied over one block per set (1.15, 1.10 and 1.03 blocks per set, respectively).
Oklahoma runs a 5-1 offensive system with setter Julie Doyle. Strong passing and defense from libero Taylor Migliazzo keeps Doyle in-system and able to force balls to dominant middle hitters Sallie McLaurin and Kierra Holst.
Outside hitters Madison Ward and Keila Rodriguez have been playing well in their last few outings, giving Oklahoma the ability to spread out their offense and keep opponents guessing.
Texas is one of the only top-5 teams that aren’t tested weekly in conference play. This match against Oklahoma is a rare challenge for the Longhorns. They defeated the Sooners in straight sets in their first meeting this year, but Oklahoma is good and getting better (they were ranked No. 19 in the latest RPI). Traveling to the Sooners’ home court, I think Texas will have to work a little harder to walk away with a win.
My Pick: Texas in four.
That’s all I’ve got for you this week. If you have thoughts about the matches or want to talk volleyball, feel free to tweet @debstadick or @AVCAVolleyball.